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1.
J Aerosol Med Pulm Drug Deliv ; 2023 Jun 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-20233452

RESUMEN

Background: Significant evidence suggests that SARS-CoV-2 can be transmitted via respiratory aerosols, which are known to vary as a function of respiratory activity. Most animal models examine disease presentation following inhalation of small-particle aerosols similar to those generated during quiet breathing or speaking. However, despite evidence that particle size can influence dose-infectivity relationships and disease presentation for other microorganisms, no studies have examined the infectivity of SARS-CoV-2 contained in larger particle aerosols similar to those produced during coughing, singing, or talking. Therefore, the aim of the present study was to assess the influence of aerodynamic diameter on the infectivity and virulence of aerosols containing SARS-CoV-2 in a hamster model of inhalational COVID-19. Methods: Dose-response relationships were assessed for two different aerosol particle size distributions, with mass median aerodynamic diameters (MMADs) of 1.3 and 5.2 µm in groups of Syrian hamsters exposed to aerosols containing SARS-CoV-2. Results: Disease was characterized by viral shedding in oropharyngeal swabs, increased respiratory rate, decreased activity, and decreased weight gain. Aerosol particle size significantly influenced the median doses to induce seroconversion and viral shedding, with both increasing ∼30-fold when the MMAD was increased. In addition, disease presentation was dose-dependent, with seroconversion and viral shedding occurring at lower doses than symptomatic disease characterized by increased respiratory rate and decreased activity. Conclusions: These results suggest that aerosol particle size may be an important factor influencing the risk of COVID-19 transmission and needs to be considered when developing animal models of disease. This result agrees with numerous previous studies with other microorganisms and animal species, suggesting that it would be generally translatable across different species. However, it should be noted that the absolute magnitude of the observed shifts in the median doses obtained with the specific particle sizes utilized herein may not be directly applicable to other species.

2.
Extreme Medicine ; - (2):5-12, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | EMBASE | ID: covidwho-2324010

RESUMEN

The level and duration of protective immunity are often analyzed qualitatively or semi-quantitatively. The same strategy is applied to the analysis of antibody dynamics. At some point in time t after exposure or immunization, the presence of immunity against the infection is inferred from the level of specific antibodies by comparing it to a reference value. This approach does not account for the stochastic nature of human disease after exposure to a pathogen. At the same time, it is not fully clear what antibody level should be considered protective. The aim of this study was to develop a mathematical model for quantitative determination of protective immunity against SARS-CoV-2 and its duration. We demonstrate that the problem of describing protective immunity in quantitative terms can be broken down into 2 interrelated problems: describing the quantitative characteristics of a pathogen's virulence (in our case, the pathogen is SARS-CoV-2) and describing the dynamics of antibody titers in a biological organism. Below, we provide solutions for these problems and identify parameters of the model which describes such dynamics. Using the proposed model, we offer a theoretical solution to the problem of protective immunity and its duration. We also note that in order to quantitatively determine the studied parameters in a homogenous population group, it is necessary to know 5 parameters of the bivariate probability density function for correlated continuous random variables: the infective dose of the pathogen and the antibody titer at which the disease develops and which are still unknown.Copyright © Extreme Medicine.All right reserved.

3.
Textile Research Journal ; 93(7-8):1602-1611, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | ProQuest Central | ID: covidwho-2286286

RESUMEN

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has increased the demand for antiviral technologies to mitigate or prevent the risk of viral transmission. Antiviral treated textiles have the potential to save lives, especially in healthcare settings that rely on reusable patient-care textiles and personal protective equipment. Currently, little is known about the role of textiles in cross-contamination and pathogen transmission, despite the wealth of information on hard surfaces and fomites harboring viruses that remain viable in certain circumstances. In addition, there is no international standard method for evaluating residual viral activity on textiles, which would allow a thorough investigation of the efficacy of antiviral textile products. Therefore, this pilot study aims to develop and refine a standardized protocol to quantitatively evaluate residual viral activity on antiviral textiles. Specifically, we focused on general textiles, such as bed linens, commonly used in healthcare settings for patient care. The Tissue Culture Infectious Dose 50 (TCID50) method is frequently used to quantitatively evaluate viral infectivity on textiles, but has not been established as a standard. This procedure involves observing the cytopathic effect of a given virus on cells grown in a 96-well plate after several days of incubation to determine the infectivity titer. We used HCoV-229E and Huh-7 human liver cancer cells for this investigation. We worked to improve the TCID50 method through variations of different steps within the protocol to attain reproducible results. Our proposed optimized hybrid protocol has shown evidence that the protocol is technically simpler and more efficient, and provides successful, consistent results. The analysis showed a significant difference between the treated fabric compared with controls.

4.
J Virol Methods ; 313: 114675, 2023 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2221089

RESUMEN

Infectious bronchitis (IB) is a highly contagious viral disease of chickens caused by IB virus (IBV) that can cause substantial economic losses in the poultry industry. IBV variant infections have been continuously reported since the initial description in the 1930s. QX-like IBVs are the predominant circulating genotype globally. A homologous QX vaccine has superior protection efficacy compared with that of other available vaccines, and the combination of Massachusetts (Mass)-like and QX-like strains is being used to combat QX-like IBV infections. Inoculation of embryonated chicken eggs is the standard method for the titration of IBV, and the titer is expressed as 50% egg infectious dose (EID50). However, this method cannot effectively distinguish or quantify different genotypic strains in a mixture of different viruses, especially in the absence of neutralizing monoclonal antibodies. In this study, quantitative real-time PCR (RT-qPCR) was applied using specific primers for the QX- and Mass-like strains to quantitate IBV infection and for comparison with the conventional virus titration quantitative method. A strong positive correlation was observed between RT-qPCR cycle threshold values and the different EID50 concentrations. This method was further used to titrate bivalent IB vaccines, and the amount of individual genotype virus was determined based on specific primers. Thus, this RT-qPCR assay may be used as a highly specific, sensitive, and rapid alternative to the EID50 assay for titering IBVs.


Asunto(s)
Bronquitis , Infecciones por Coronavirus , Virus de la Bronquitis Infecciosa , Enfermedades de las Aves de Corral , Vacunas Virales , Animales , Pollos , Vacunas Combinadas , Reacción en Cadena en Tiempo Real de la Polimerasa , Vacunas Atenuadas , Infecciones por Coronavirus/diagnóstico , Infecciones por Coronavirus/prevención & control , Infecciones por Coronavirus/veterinaria , Enfermedades de las Aves de Corral/diagnóstico , Enfermedades de las Aves de Corral/prevención & control , Anticuerpos Neutralizantes , Virus de la Bronquitis Infecciosa/genética
5.
Textile Research Journal ; 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | Web of Science | ID: covidwho-2121881

RESUMEN

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has increased the demand for antiviral technologies to mitigate or prevent the risk of viral transmission. Antiviral treated textiles have the potential to save lives, especially in healthcare settings that rely on reusable patient-care textiles and personal protective equipment. Currently, little is known about the role of textiles in cross-contamination and pathogen transmission, despite the wealth of information on hard surfaces and fomites harboring viruses that remain viable in certain circumstances. In addition, there is no international standard method for evaluating residual viral activity on textiles, which would allow a thorough investigation of the efficacy of antiviral textile products. Therefore, this pilot study aims to develop and refine a standardized protocol to quantitatively evaluate residual viral activity on antiviral textiles. Specifically, we focused on general textiles, such as bed linens, commonly used in healthcare settings for patient care. The Tissue Culture Infectious Dose 50 (TCID50) method is frequently used to quantitatively evaluate viral infectivity on textiles, but has not been established as a standard. This procedure involves observing the cytopathic effect of a given virus on cells grown in a 96-well plate after several days of incubation to determine the infectivity titer. We used HCoV-229E and Huh-7 human liver cancer cells for this investigation. We worked to improve the TCID50 method through variations of different steps within the protocol to attain reproducible results. Our proposed optimized hybrid protocol has shown evidence that the protocol is technically simpler and more efficient, and provides successful, consistent results. The analysis showed a significant difference between the treated fabric compared with controls.

6.
Tissue Engineering - Part A ; 28:303-304, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | EMBASE | ID: covidwho-2062831

RESUMEN

Purpose/Objectives: Gram-negative bacteria including E. coli and P. aeruginosa can survive for months on dry hard surfaces, and SARS viruses can persist for days. These contaminated surfaces along with patients' damaged skin barriers, due to wounds or central line insertion sites, increase the risk healthcare-acquired infections (HAI) and subsequent serious complications. Furthermore, with increased frequency and duration of hospitalizations due to the current pandemic, the number of HAIs is on the rise. Currently there are no antimicrobial surfaces that provide both instant and long-lasting antimicrobial protection against a broad spectrum of infectious microbes. Liquid- or radiation-based disinfection techniques are kill microbes quickly, but their effect does not last long before needing reapplication. Antimicrobial surfaces based on heavy metals remain antimicrobial for long durations, but complete disinfection can take hours. In this work, we developed a new class of plant-inspired antimicrobial surfaces and wound dressings that incorporate plant secondary metabolites capable of rapid disinfection (> 4-log reduction) of common bacteria and viruses and maintain their efficacy over time (> 6 months). Methodology: We developed a method for stabilizing naturally antimicrobial essential oils components from plants such as, alpha terpineol (AT) and cinnamaldehyde (CMA), within a polyurethane polymer. Using a modified standard method for evaluating the performance of different nonporous solids (ISO 22196) and median tissue culture infection dose assay, these antimicrobial polyurethane coatings were tested and found to be effective in killing E. coli, P. aeruginosa, methicillin-resistant S. aureus (MRSA), and SARS-CoV-2. The durability of the coatings was tested by linear abrasion, UV and airflow exposure. Application methods such as spray coating and dip coating allow the coating to be applied to a variety of surfaces. Results: Polyurethane surfaces containing 35% AT content (PU-35%AT) showed a ∼5.8-log reduction in E. coli colony forming units per cm2 (CFU/cm2) in under 2 minutes, a shorter time than common commercial disinfectants. Additionally, when subjected to 8 consecutive rounds of inoculation the PU- 35%AT surface reduced the E. coli by >99.99% for all 8 rounds. We achieved a ∼5.8-log reduction of MRSA within 5 minutes on PU-60%AT. The PU-35%AT surfaces showed a 4.0-log reduction in SARS-CoV- 2 in 60 minutes. A PU-70%AT showed a 1.6-log reduction after 10 minutes and maintained virucidal capabilities after 2 weeks. PU+35%AT surfaces maintained a ∼5.3-log reduction in CFU/cm2 in MRSA and E. coli after 1000 abrasion cycles, 12 hours of UV exposure, 25 hours of exposure to -17°C, or 5 months of air flow. Lastly, to demonstrate the coating's real world functionality the PU+35%AT coating was successfully applied to a computer keyboard, cell phone screen protector and medical gauze. Conclusion/Significance: This work demonstrates a novel approach for fabricating a broad-spectrum antibacterial and antiviral polymer surface based on plant essential oil components. This antimicrobial polyurethane coating has not only rapid bactericidal and virucidal capabilities but maintains this efficacy over time. Additionally, the coating can be applied to a variety of surfaces including medical gauze to create wound dressings that significantly reduce bacterial burden and decrease chances of HAIs.

7.
Clin Infect Dis ; 75(1): e1195-e1201, 2022 Aug 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2017769

RESUMEN

The relationship between severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) dose, infection, and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outcomes remains poorly understood. This review summarizes the existing literature regarding this issue, identifies gaps in current knowledge, and suggests opportunities for future research. In humans, host characteristics, including age, sex, comorbidities, smoking, and pregnancy, are associated with severe COVID-19. Similarly, in animals, host factors are strong determinants of disease severity, although most animal infection models manifest clinically with mild to moderate respiratory disease. The influence of variants of concern as it relates to infectious dose, consequence of overall pathogenicity, and disease outcome in dose-response remains unknown. Epidemiologic data suggest a dose-response relationship for infection contrasting with limited and inconsistent surrogate-based evidence between dose and disease severity. Recommendations include the design of future infection studies in animal models to investigate inoculating dose on outcomes and the use of better proxies for dose in human epidemiology studies.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Animales , Comorbilidad , Femenino , Humanos , Embarazo
8.
Problemy Osobo Opasnykh Infektsii ; - (1):148-155, 2022.
Artículo en Ruso | Scopus | ID: covidwho-1988792

RESUMEN

The aim of the research was to assess the susceptibility of mice of different lines to newly emerging variants of SARS-CoV-2. Materials and methods. The SARS-CoV-2 virus strains belonging to variants of concern (VOC) circulating in the territory of the Russian Federation were used in the study. Experiments involved three inbred mouse lines (BALB/c, CBA and C57Bl/6z) and CD1 outbred mice taken from the nursery of the SSC VB “Vector” of the Rospotrebnadzor. The infectious titer of coronavirus in tissue samples obtained from the laboratory animals was determined on a Vero E6 cell culture. The (Ct) threshold value in RT-PCR was considered an additional parameter for monitoring the viral load in the samples. The severity of lung tissue damage was assessed using histological preparations. Results and discussion. The susceptibility of various mouse lines to the genetic variant Beta of the SARS-CoV-2 virus has been investigated. During intranasal infection of the inbred and outbred mice with strains of VOC at a dose of 2·103 TCID50, the virus replicated in the lungs with maximum concentrations 72 hours after infection. The pathogenicity of genetic variants of the SARS-CoV-2 virus for BALB/c mice has been assessed, a 50 % infectious dose for intranasal infection (ID50) determined. Histological analysis showed COVID-19-specific lung tissue lesions in infected animals. Our study proves that BALB/c mice can be used as a model animal in screening studies when evaluating the effectiveness of therapeutic, vaccine preparations and studying the pathogenesis caused by VOC of the SARS-CoV-2 virus: Alpha (B.1.1.7), Beta (B.1.351), Gamma (P.1), Omicron (B.1.1.529) and the like. © 2022 Russian Research Anti-Plague Institute. All rights reserved.

9.
Safety and Health at Work ; 13:S4, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | EMBASE | ID: covidwho-1676919

RESUMEN

In a Commentary published by the University of Minnesota Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy (CIDRAP) in early 2020, I demonstrated that SARS-CoV-2 easily fulfills the criteria for biological plausibility of aerosol transmission. Not until early 2021, however, did CDC and WHO finally admit the possibility of close-range aerosol inhalation transmission. In a second CIDRAP Commentary on the role of masks – cloth face coverings, surgical/medical masks, and respirators – I found that data on cloth face coverings were limited but suggestive of ineffectiveness at limiting person-to-person transmission in indoor, enclosed spaces. Data on surgical masks also did not support a strong role for their ability to prevent person-to-person transmission. Respirators, on the other hand, even if not fit tested, could be effective at limiting both aerosol emission and inhalation, for workers and the public. Time has been the most important element missing from the discussion of COVID-19 exposure and transmission. Masks may lower the concentration of exhaled or inhaled particles, but with time their role diminishes as the wearer continues to emit and inspire infectious particles. While the infectious dose of SARS-CoV-2 is not known, it is clearly very low. Even if a mask lowers the inhaled concentration, exposure over time ensures the receipt of an infectious dose. Why are CDC and public health and medical professionals so fixated on “masks” as an effective intervention for preventing person-to-person transmission? The perspective and underlying “science” of the infection prevention and control “droplet dogma” have been continuously debunked throughout the pandemic by numerous scientists in numerous high impact journals, but this perspective continues to hold sway. Is there a chance, with this pandemic, for a “paradigm shift” toward a more informed scientific theory of aerosol transmission that will better inform the selection of more effective controls than cloth and surgical masks?

10.
Clin Infect Dis ; 74(1): 1-7, 2022 01 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1621583

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Households are high-risk settings for the transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Severity of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is likely associated with the infectious dose of SARS-CoV-2 exposure. We therefore aimed to assess the association between SARS-CoV-2 exposure within households and COVID-19 severity. METHODS: We performed a Danish, nationwide, register-based, cohort study including laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2-infected individuals from 22 February 2020 to 6 October 2020. Household exposure to SARS-CoV-2 was defined as having 1 individual test positive for SARS-CoV-2 within the household. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the association between "critical COVID-19" within and between households with and without secondary cases. RESULTS: From 15 063 multiperson households, 19 773 SARS-CoV-2-positive individuals were included; 11 632 were categorized as index cases without any secondary household cases; 3431 as index cases with secondary cases, that is, 22.8% of multiperson households; and 4710 as secondary cases. Critical COVID-19 occurred in 2.9% of index cases living with no secondary cases, 4.9% of index cases with secondary cases, and 1.3% of secondary cases. The adjusted hazard ratio for critical COVID-19 among index cases vs secondary cases within the same household was 2.50 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.88-3.34), 2.27 (95% CI, 1.77-2.93) for index cases in households with no secondary cases vs secondary cases, and 1.1 (95% CI, .93-1.30) for index cases with secondary cases vs index cases without secondary cases. CONCLUSIONS: We found no increased hazard ratio of critical COVID-19 among household members of infected SARS-CoV-2 index cases.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Estudios de Cohortes , Dinamarca/epidemiología , Composición Familiar , Humanos
11.
Biophysics (Oxf) ; 66(2): 327-348, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1296563

RESUMEN

The course of an infection was modeled as a controlled nonlinear process. Understanding the substantial differences observed in the trajectory of the disease caused by the new coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 is of critical importance at the moment. Numerous factors have been considered to explain the fact that symptoms vary highly among different people and the infection transmission rate varies among local populations. Virus replication within the host cell and the development of an immune response to virus antigens in the body are two interdependent processes, which have aftereffects and depend on the preexisting states of the cell and virus populations. Different scenarios with the same input parameters are necessary to consider for modeling the properties of the states. The efficiency of the immune response is the most important factor, including the time it takes to develop defense responses from three levels of the immune system, which is a complex system of the body. A computational description of infection scenarios was proposed on the basis of a delay differential equation with two values of the time lag. In the new model, transitions between phases of infectious disease depend on the initial virus dose and the delayed immune response to infection. A variation in the dose of the virus and response time can lead to a transition from an acute phase of the disease with overt symptoms to a chronic phase or fatal outcome. Asymptomatic transmission of viral infection was calculated and described in the model as a situation where the virus is rapidly and efficiently suppressed after a short replication phase, while still persisting in the body in minor amounts. An analysis of the model behavior is consistent with the theory that the initial number of virions can affect the quality of the immune response. The reasons that high individual differences are observed in the trajectory of COVID-19 disease and the formation of types of the immune response to coronavirus are still poorly understood. Known trajectories of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection were used as a basis for model scenarios.

12.
J Intern Med ; 290(5): 1010-1027, 2021 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1262364

RESUMEN

The SARS-CoV-2 virus is highly contagious, as demonstrated by numerous well-documented superspreading events. The infection commonly starts in the upper respiratory tract (URT) but can migrate to the lower respiratory tract (LRT) and other organs, often with severe consequences. Whereas LRT infection can lead to shedding of virus via breath and cough droplets, URT infection enables shedding via abundant speech droplets. Their viral load can be high in carriers with mild or no symptoms, an observation linked to the abundance of SARS-CoV-2-susceptible cells in the oral cavity epithelium. Expelled droplets rapidly lose water through evaporation, with the smaller ones transforming into long-lived aerosol. Although the largest speech droplets can carry more virions, they are few in number, fall to the ground rapidly and therefore play a relatively minor role in transmission. Of more concern is small speech aerosol, which can descend deep into the LRT and cause severe disease. However, since their total volume is small, the amount of virus they carry is low. Nevertheless, in closed environments with inadequate ventilation, they can accumulate, which elevates the risk of direct LRT infection. Of most concern is the large fraction of speech aerosol that is intermediate-sized because it remains suspended in air for minutes and can be transported over considerable distances by convective air currents. The abundance of this speech-generated aerosol, combined with its high viral load in pre- and asymptomatic individuals, strongly implicates airborne transmission of SARS-CoV-2 through speech as the primary contributor to its rapid spread.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/epidemiología , Tos/etiología , Transmisión de Enfermedad Infecciosa/estadística & datos numéricos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Estornudo , Carga Viral , COVID-19/complicaciones , Salud Global , Humanos , Pandemias
13.
mSphere ; 6(3)2021 05 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1230164

RESUMEN

Human coronavirus (HCoV)-OC43 rarely shows a cytopathic effect (CPE) after infection of various cell lines, and the indirect immunoperoxidase assay (IPA), a relatively complex procedure, has long been used as an alternative assay. Because HCoV-OC43 uses cell-surface transmembrane protease serine 2 (TMPRSS2) for cell entry, VeroE6 cells expressing TMPRSS2 may show a clear CPE after HCoV-OC43 infection. The aim of this study was to construct a 50% tissue culture infectious dose (TCID50) assay for HCoV-OC43 based on CPE evaluation using VeroE6/TMPRSS2 cells. VeroE6/TMPRSS2 cells showed clear CPEs 3 to 4 days after low-titer HCoV-OC43 infection. Evaluation of viral kinetics indicated that the viral titer in the culture supernatant of VeroE6/TMPRSS2 cells in the early stages of infection was higher than that of other cells. In comparison, between the CPE-based and the IPA-based (i.e., the reference titer) methods, the titer measured with CPE evaluation 4 to 5 days after infection using VeroE6/TMPRSS2 cells showed a much smaller difference from the reference titer than that measured using other cells. Thus, the TCID50 assay using CPE evaluation with VeroE6/TMPRSS2 cells provides the correct titer value and will greatly contribute to future research on HCoV-OC43.IMPORTANCE HCoV-OC43 rarely shows a cytopathic effect (CPE) in infected cell lines, and thus the plaque and TCID50 assays by CPE observation are not applicable for titration; the indirect immunoperoxidase assay (IPA) is used instead. However, the IPA is relatively complex, time-consuming, costly, and not suitable for simultaneous titration of many samples. We developed a TCID50 assay using CPE evaluation with TMPRSS2-expressing VeroE6/TMPRSS2 cells that provides the same accuracy as the conventional IPA-based viral titration and does not require any staining procedures using antibodies or substrates. This titration method will greatly contribute to future research on HCoV-OC43 by allowing simple, low-cost, and accurate titration of this virus.


Asunto(s)
Coronavirus Humano OC43/fisiología , Efecto Citopatogénico Viral , Receptores Virales/metabolismo , Serina Endopeptidasas/metabolismo , Carga Viral/métodos , Animales , Línea Celular Tumoral , Chlorocebus aethiops , Coronavirus Humano OC43/aislamiento & purificación , Humanos , Técnicas para Inmunoenzimas , Receptores Virales/genética , Proteínas Recombinantes/genética , Proteínas Recombinantes/metabolismo , Serina Endopeptidasas/genética , Células Vero/virología , Cultivo de Virus , Internalización del Virus , Replicación Viral
14.
J R Soc Interface ; 18(176): 20200916, 2021 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1161023

RESUMEN

Epidemiological data about SARS-CoV-2 spread indicate that the virus is not transmitted uniformly in the population. The transmission tends to be more effective in select settings that involve exposure to relatively high viral dose, such as in crowded indoor settings, assisted living facilities, prisons or food processing plants. To explore the effect on infection dynamics, we describe a new mathematical model where transmission can occur (i) in the community at large, characterized by low-dose exposure and mostly mild disease, and (ii) in so-called transmission hot zones, characterized by high-dose exposure that can be associated with more severe disease. The model yields different types of epidemiological dynamics, depending on the relative importance of hot zone and community transmission. Interesting dynamics occur if the rate of virus release/deposition from severely infected people is larger than that of mildly infected individuals. Under this assumption, we find that successful infection spread can hinge upon high-dose hot zone transmission, yet the majority of infections are predicted to occur in the community at large with mild disease. In this regime, residual hot zone transmission can account for continued virus spread during community lockdowns, and the suppression of hot zones after community interventions are relaxed can cause a prolonged lack of infection resurgence following the reopening of society. This gives rise to the notion that targeted interventions specifically reducing virus transmission in the hot zones have the potential to suppress overall infection spread, including in the community at large. Epidemiological trends in the USA and Europe are interpreted in light of this model.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/transmisión , Modelos Biológicos , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2 , Número Básico de Reproducción/estadística & datos numéricos , COVID-19/virología , Simulación por Computador , Humanos , Conceptos Matemáticos , Pandemias/prevención & control , Pandemias/estadística & datos numéricos , Cuarentena , Carga Viral/estadística & datos numéricos
15.
J King Saud Univ Sci ; 33(3): 101366, 2021 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1080393

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The new coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a major health problem worldwide. The surveillance of seropositive individuals serves as an indicator to the extent of infection spread and provides an estimation of herd immunity status among population. Reports from different countries investigated this issue among healthcare workers (HCWs) who are "at risk" and "sources of risk" for COVID-19. This study aims to investigate the seroprevalence of COVID-19 among HCWs in one of the COVID-19 referral centers in Makkah, Saudi Arabia using three different serological methods. METHODS: In-house developed enzyme-linked immunoassay (ELISA), commercially available electro-chemiluminescence immunoassay (ECLIA), and microneutralization (MN) assay were utilized to determine the seroprevalence rate among the study population. 204 HCWs participated in the study. Both physicians and nurses working in the COVID-19 and non COVID-19 areas were included. Twelve out of 204 were confirmed cases of COVID-19 with variable disease severity. Samples from recovered HCWs were collected four weeks post diagnosis. RESULTS: The overall seroprevalence rate was 6.3% (13 out of 204) using the in-house ELISA and MN assay and it was 5.8% (12 out of 204) using the commercial ECLIA. Among HCWs undiagnosed with COVID-19, the seroprevalence was 2% (4 out 192). Notably, neutralizing antibodies were not detected in 3 (25%) out 12 confirmed cases of COVID-19. CONCLUSIONS: Our study, similar to the recent national multi-center study, showed a low seroprevalence of SARS-Cov-2 antibodies among HCWs. Concordance of results between the commercial electro-chemiluminescence immunoassay (ECLIA), in-house ELISA and MN assay was observed. The in-house ELISA is a promising tool for the serological diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection. However, seroprevalence studies may underestimate the extent of COVID-19 infection as some cases with mild disease did not have detectable antibody responses.

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